Here’s a sure-bet, good news 2013 prediction: No more political ads on TV, at least for a while. Still, next year will hold plenty of ups and downs for enterprise security leaders, which include innovations that will help you to reduce enterprise risk. The Tonight Show’s Jay Leno and CEO Gary Shapiro know. Researcher Michela Menting and economist Bart van Ark have their perspectives on the near future as does Gartner Fellow David Cearley.

As a general rule, forecasting is a bit of guessing. Even economists, whose job it is to make sense of hardcore data and then give solid analysis, often are reduced to intelligent guessing. But security leaders know better. They know what they’ll likely face in 2012, namely terrorism, workplace violence, fraud, cybercrime, regulatory compliance, natural disasters, theft, intellectual property, brand protection, budget concerns and more – the same trends identified in Security magazine’s 2011 Security 500 report.