Which cities will experience the most projected change in crime?

According to the Pinkerton Crime Index (PCI), which uses proprietary technology to analyze crime and social cohesion data, patterns, and trends that provide crime levels two years ahead of any forecast, the following six cities have a projected increasing trend of total crime (from highest to lowest risk):

  1. Philadelphia ranked first in property crime risk increase and second in violent crime risk increase projections.
  2. New York City ranked second in property crime risk and seventh in violent crime risk.
  3. Portland ranked first in violent crime risk increase.
  4. San Francisco ranked fourth in total violent crime risk increase and second in property crime risk decrease.
  5. Chicago ranked fifth in total crime risk increase, sixth in violent crime risk increase and fifteenth in property crime risk decrease.
  6. Nashville ranked sixth in total crime risk, tenth in violent crime risk increase and eleventh in property crime risk decrease.

The following six cities have a projected decreasing trend (from most significant to lowest positive change):

  1. Seattle ranks first in total crime and property crime risk decrease. However, it is ranked eighth in violent crime risk increase.
  2. El Paso ranks second in total crime risk, first in violent crime risk, and twentieth in property crime risk decrease.
  3. Boston ranks third in total crime risk, fourth in violent crime risk, and second in property crime risk decrease.
  4. Indianapolis ranks fourth in total crime risk, second in violent crime risk and sixteenth in property crime risk decrease.
  5. Washington, D.C. ranks fifth in total crime risk, third in violent crime risk, and tenth in property crime risk decrease.
  6. Oklahoma City ranks sixth in total crime risk, seventh in violent crime risk and fourth in property crime risk decrease.

For more information, visit www.pinkerton.com.